Is the loan market on the mend?
It is interesting reading statistics from analyses reports, BUT the one thing we MUST bear in mind is that if only two properties are sold in one month; and then the next month only one property is sold; that one sale can be reported as a 50% INCREASE.
THE first quarter of 2012 has seen a welcome improvement in the number of home loan approvals nationwide with the recent reduction in interest rates set to further boost the sector, says mortgage broker Loan Market.
Loan Market corporate spokesperson Paul Smith said the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures for March, 2012, show a modest 0.34 per cent rise in the number of home loan approvals from February, 2012.
But Mr Smith said the national results for the March quarter 2012 were 10% up on the corresponding quarter in 2011 with all states and territories on the mainland on the rise. Only Tasmania bucked the trend.
Western Australia and Queensland had quarterly increases of 25% and 16% respectively, while the Northern Territory was up 18% and NSW 11%.
There was a 4% increase in South Australia, 3% in the ACT and 2% in Victoria.
Tasmania had an 8% decrease.
"It's highly encouraging to see the market on the mainland make a comeback after a prolonged downward trend," Mr Smith said.
"We are obviously seeing more confidence from consumers so far this year, compared to last, which augers well for the months ahead."
Mr Smith said the recent lowering of official interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) from 4.25% to 3.75% would also have an impact on the home finance market in the coming months.
"With two consecutive months of flat activity, we should hopefully see the figures for May and June spike in reaction to the RBA's rate cut."
"Even though most lenders held back on passing on the full 50 basis points, they still lowered their variable rates by significant margins in a positive move for home loan customers.
"The rate cut will also help revive stalled sectors such as retail that were clearly in need of some stimulus.
"There may be further rate cuts by the RBA which can only be beneficial to sectors such as retail and housing."
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